Yesterday I spoke with Neil Cavuto on the Fox Business show "CAVUTO" about the expiration of the tax credit. I went on the record saying that the tax credit was necessary to get buyers off the fence at a time there was so much fear in the marketplace. The tax credit targeted low-end housing (where the most distressed appeared) and first-time home buyers. At one point 50 percent of the buyers were first-time buyers so this tax credit worked. Latest reports now show that investors were responsible for 19 percent of the transactions in March. Most of these investors are not motivated by the tax credit or interest rates since a large number purchase with all cash. I stressed that it is the price that has brought investors back into the marketplace: therefore, we do not to give a tax credit when buyers are now buying in all price ranges because of attractive prices that exist today.
Consumer confidence is also much higher-in April it measured at 57.9 percent. February pending home sales are up and the number of homes sold nationally have been up year over year for the last 9 months. New home sales were up in March (and beat estimates) and the stock market has come back giving many the feeling of being wealthier than a year ago. This also could be one reason housing has shown strength.
Warren Buffet said the he does not agree that "cash is king" as he thinks cash is a poor investment. So if investing is the smart thing to do then buying real estate at a time when rates and prices are low is the way many people are moving. Almost anyone can understand how to buy and sell homes but investing the same amount in stocks is something most would need a far greater amount of knowledge and time to properly manage long-term.
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